Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:00 • Ilūkstes pašvaldības stadions
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.82) 1.75 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.7% 23.3% 58.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.1%
0 - 2
11.5%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Smiltene
0 1 2 3 4 5
Augšdaugava 0 7.4% 13.1% 11.5% 6.7% 2.9% 1.0%
1 6.3% 11.0% 9.7% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 2.6% 4.6% 4.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAugšdaugavaSmiltene
Played55
Form7%7%
Attack15%30%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Augšdaugava Smiltene
HATHAT
Played111122101222
Wins27%0%14%40%25%32%
Draws9%36%23%10%8%9%
Loses64%64%64%50%67%59%

Form: Augšdaugava: LLDLLLLLWLDDWLLWDLLLLD • Smiltene: LWDLLWLWWWLLLLWLWLLDLL

League goals

Metric Augšdaugava Smiltene
HATHAT
GF total10818231639
GF avg0.90.70.82.31.31.8
GA total222547212041
GA avg2.02.32.12.11.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAugšdaugavaSmiltene
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.541%91%82%86%
1.523%59%50%64%
2.514%36%23%27%
3.55%14%14%9%
4.50%14%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAugšdaugavaSmiltene
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score6713224

Penalties

MetricAugšdaugavaSmiltene
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAugšdaugavaSmiltene
Wins13
Draws21
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-15-00-3
Biggest losses0-55-00-43-1
Goals For4353
Goals Against5543

Model comparison

MetricAugšdaugavaSmiltene
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total40.3%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Smiltene

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.22 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Marathonbet
Away1.80 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Marathonbet
No2.47 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Augšdaugava = 0.84 (league 1.82), Smiltene = 1.75 (league 1.48)

Smiltene
0 1 2 3 4 5
Augšdaugava 0 7.4% 13.1% 11.5% 6.7% 2.9% 1.0%
1 6.3% 11.0% 9.7% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 2.6% 4.6% 4.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.7% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 58.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1