Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Mežaparks Sports Village
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.38 (league 1.85) 1.30 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.1% 12.4% 10.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 1
6.9%
4 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Rēzekne FA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga Mariners 0 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.3% 6.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.0% 6.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRiga MarinersRēzekne FA
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack88%76%
Defense59%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 313 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Riga Mariners Rēzekne FA
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins55%82%68%36%36%36%
Draws27%9%18%27%27%27%
Loses18%9%14%36%36%36%

Form: Riga Mariners: DWWDWLLWWWWWWDWWWWWLWD • Rēzekne FA: WLLLWDDWDLLWLDDDLWWLWW

League goals

Metric Riga Mariners Rēzekne FA
HATHAT
GF total283361121830
GF avg2.53.02.81.11.61.4
GA total131528162743
GA avg1.21.41.31.52.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRiga MarinersRēzekne FA
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%77%73%82%
1.573%36%41%41%
2.559%14%14%27%
3.532%0%5%14%
4.518%0%5%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRiga MarinersRēzekne FA
HATHAT
Clean sheets415314
Failed to score112426

Penalties

MetricRiga MarinersRēzekne FA
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricRiga MarinersRēzekne FA
Wins62
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-53-20-5
Biggest losses2-33-02-58-1
Goals For6535
Goals Against3358

Model comparison

MetricRiga MarinersRēzekne FA
Form45%55%
Att54%46%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Riga Mariners and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Bet365
Draw5.15 @ Marathonbet
Away6.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Marathonbet
No2.27 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Riga Mariners = 3.38 (league 1.85), Rēzekne FA = 1.30 (league 1.47)

Rēzekne FA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga Mariners 0 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.3% 6.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.0% 6.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 12.4% · Away win 10.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1