Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
LNK Sporta Parks
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.85)
1.55 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.4% | 23.0% | 34.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Mārupe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leevon / PPK | 0 | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leevon / PPK | Mārupe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 32% | 21% |
| Defense | 58% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leevon / PPK | Mārupe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 55% | 18% | 36% | 45% | 36% | 41% |
| Draws | 9% | 27% | 18% | 9% | 0% | 5% |
| Loses | 36% | 55% | 45% | 45% | 64% | 55% |
Form: Leevon / PPK: LLDDWLLWWLWWDLWLLWWLLD • Mārupe: WWLWLLWLDWWLLWWLLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Leevon / PPK | Mārupe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 12 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 21 | 15 | 36 | 12 | 18 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leevon / PPK | Mārupe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 86% | 77% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 50% | 27% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 18% | 5% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 9% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leevon / PPK | Mārupe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leevon / PPK | Mārupe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leevon / PPK | Mārupe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 0-4 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leevon / PPK | Mārupe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Leevon / PPK or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leevon / PPK = 1.73 (league 1.85), Mārupe = 1.55 (league 1.47)
| Mārupe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leevon / PPK | 0 | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.4% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 34.2%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1