Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Jaunmārupes stadions
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.73 (league 1.82) 0.96 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.5% 14.9% 10.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.3%
2 - 1
8.9%
3 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Progress / AFA Olaine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mārupe 0 2.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.7% 5.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMārupeProgress / AFA Olaine
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack23%85%
Defense62%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 116 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mārupe Progress / AFA Olaine
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins45%33%39%25%18%22%
Draws9%8%9%25%0%13%
Loses45%58%52%50%82%65%

Form: Mārupe: WWLWLLWLDWWLLWWLLLWLLLD • Progress / AFA Olaine: LLLLLDLDLWLLWLLLDLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Mārupe Progress / AFA Olaine
HATHAT
GF total121325191433
GF avg1.11.11.11.61.31.4
GA total121830304979
GA avg1.11.51.32.54.53.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMārupeProgress / AFA Olaine
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%74%91%
1.526%35%43%70%
2.54%17%26%61%
3.54%4%0%48%
4.50%0%0%30%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMārupeProgress / AFA Olaine
HATHAT
Clean sheets426202
Failed to score246336

Penalties

MetricMārupeProgress / AFA Olaine
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricMārupeProgress / AFA Olaine
Wins22
Draws11
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-43-02-3
Biggest losses0-34-11-68-1
Goals For2433
Goals Against3468

Model comparison

MetricMārupeProgress / AFA Olaine
Form31%69%
Att21%79%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h67%33%
Goals50%50%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Mārupe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ 1xBet
Draw5.00 @ Bet365
Away7.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Marathonbet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mārupe = 2.73 (league 1.82), Progress / AFA Olaine = 0.96 (league 1.48)

Progress / AFA Olaine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mārupe 0 2.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.7% 5.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.5% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 10.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1