1. Liga — Latvia
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:00 • Mežaparks Sports Village
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.85) 2.72 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.9% 15.3% 66.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
0 - 2
8.6%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ogre United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga FC II 0 2.3% 6.4% 8.6% 7.8% 5.3% 2.9%
1 2.4% 6.6% 9.0% 8.1% 5.5% 3.0%
2 1.3% 3.4% 4.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6%
3 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRiga FC IIOgre United
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack68%42%
Defense74%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Riga FC II Ogre United
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins27%8%17%83%55%70%
Draws27%25%26%17%18%17%
Loses45%67%57%0%27%13%

Form: Riga FC II: DLDLLLLLDDLWLDLLLLLWWWD • Ogre United: WWDWWWWLLDWLWWWWWWWWWDD

League goals

Metric Riga FC II Ogre United
HATHAT
GF total181028342761
GF avg1.60.81.22.82.52.7
GA total18224051318
GA avg1.61.81.70.41.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRiga FC IIOgre United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%83%96%48%
1.530%57%61%22%
2.59%22%57%9%
3.54%9%22%0%
4.54%4%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRiga FC IIOgre United
HATHAT
Clean sheets2247512
Failed to score268101

Penalties

MetricRiga FC IIOgre United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricRiga FC IIOgre United
Wins39
Draws21
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-20-38-10-7
Biggest losses1-35-1—3-1
Goals For7387
Goals Against3513

Model comparison

MetricRiga FC IIOgre United
Form48%52%
Att62%38%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total37.3%62.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ogre United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.10 @ 1xBet
Draw4.50 @ Marathonbet
Away1.53 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Marathonbet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Riga FC II = 1.04 (league 1.85), Ogre United = 2.72 (league 1.47)

Ogre United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga FC II 0 2.3% 6.4% 8.6% 7.8% 5.3% 2.9%
1 2.4% 6.6% 9.0% 8.1% 5.5% 3.0%
2 1.3% 3.4% 4.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6%
3 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.9% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 66.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1