Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 11:00 •
Tepera stadions
Expected Goals
3.33 (league 1.85)
2.24 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.7% | 15.6% | 22.3% |
best score tips
3 - 2
5.9%
2 - 2
5.3%
3 - 1
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Rēzekne FA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Smiltene | 0 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Smiltene | Rēzekne FA |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 33% | 50% |
| Defense | 44% | 39% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Smiltene | Rēzekne FA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 36% | 31% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 9% | 8% | 8% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 55% | 62% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 42% |
Form: Smiltene: LWDLLWLWWWLLLLWLWLLDLLWL • Rēzekne FA: WLLLWDDWDLLWLDDDLWWLWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Smiltene | Rēzekne FA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 19 | 43 | 13 | 18 | 31 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 24 | 21 | 45 | 18 | 33 | 51 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Smiltene | Rēzekne FA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 88% | 71% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 63% | 38% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 29% | 13% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 8% | 4% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 4% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Smiltene | Rēzekne FA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Smiltene | Rēzekne FA |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Smiltene | Rēzekne FA |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-1 | 2-5 | 8-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Smiltene | Rēzekne FA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 68% | 32% |
| Total | 55.2% | 44.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Smiltene or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Smiltene = 3.33 (league 1.85), Rēzekne FA = 2.24 (league 1.47)
| Rēzekne FA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Smiltene | 0 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 22.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1