Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 11:00 •
Mežaparks Sports Village
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.85)
1.12 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.3% | 24.3% | 25.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Rīgas FS II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Riga Mariners | 0 | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Riga Mariners | Rīgas FS II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 89% | 39% |
| Defense | 61% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Riga Mariners | Rīgas FS II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 58% | 83% | 71% | 62% | 27% | 46% |
| Draws | 25% | 8% | 17% | 8% | 55% | 29% |
| Loses | 17% | 8% | 13% | 31% | 18% | 25% |
Form: Riga Mariners: DWWDWLLWWWWWWDWWWWWLWDWW • Rīgas FS II: LLDWWWDDWWDLWDLWWWLLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Riga Mariners | Rīgas FS II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 36 | 70 | 26 | 16 | 42 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Riga Mariners | Rīgas FS II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 75% | 83% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 33% | 54% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 13% | 25% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 21% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Riga Mariners | Rīgas FS II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Riga Mariners | Rīgas FS II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Riga Mariners | Rīgas FS II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-5 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Riga Mariners | Rīgas FS II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 59.6% | 40.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Riga Mariners or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Riga Mariners = 1.66 (league 1.85), Rīgas FS II = 1.12 (league 1.47)
| Rīgas FS II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Riga Mariners | 0 | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 25.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1