Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 11:00 •
Olimpiskā centra Ventspils Stadionā
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.82)
0.82 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.6% | 26.3% | 20.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Mārupe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| JFK Ventspils | 0 | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.9% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | JFK Ventspils | Mārupe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 22% | 33% |
| Defense | 56% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | JFK Ventspils | Mārupe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 42% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Loses | 17% | 17% | 17% | 42% | 58% | 50% |
Form: JFK Ventspils: WWDWWWWDDDDWDWDLWWLDLLDD • Mārupe: WWLWLLWLDWWLLWWLLLWLLLDW
League goals
| Metric | JFK Ventspils | Mārupe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 16 | 37 | 17 | 13 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 18 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | JFK Ventspils | Mārupe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 71% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 29% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 4% | 8% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | JFK Ventspils | Mārupe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | JFK Ventspils | Mārupe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | JFK Ventspils | Mārupe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | JFK Ventspils | Mārupe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Mārupe
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): JFK Ventspils = 1.49 (league 1.82), Mārupe = 0.82 (league 1.48)
| Mārupe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| JFK Ventspils | 0 | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.9% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.6% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 20.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1