Progress / AFA Olaine vs Leevon / PPK

1. Liga — Latvia

Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 11:00 • Olaines stadions

Match Finished

Progress / AFA Olaine

1 - 1

Leevon / PPK

Expected Goals

1.12 (league 1.85) 2.04 (league 1.47)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
20.3%	21.1%	56.7%

best score tips

1 - 2

9.9%

1 - 1

9.7%

0 - 2

8.8%

Score & goals probability table

		Leevon / PPK
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Progress / AFA Olaine	0	4.2%	8.6%	8.8%	6.0%	3.0%	1.2%
	1	4.8%	9.7%	9.9%	6.7%	3.4%	1.4%
	2	2.7%	5.4%	5.6%	3.8%	1.9%	0.8%
	3	1.0%	2.0%	2.1%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
	4	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Progress / AFA Olaine	Leevon / PPK
Played	5	5
Form	40%	33%
Attack	50%	17%
Defense	0%	67%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	3 \| 0.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	19 \| 3.8	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

73%

FT probability

3.5+

52%

FT probability

BTTS

78%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Progress / AFA Olaine			Leevon / PPK
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	12	12	24	12	12	24
Wins	25%	17%	21%	50%	25%	38%
Draws	25%	0%	13%	17%	25%	21%
Loses	50%	83%	67%	33%	50%	42%

Form: Progress / AFA Olaine: LLLLLDLDLWLLWLLLDLWWLLWL • Leevon / PPK: LLDDWLLWWLWWDLWLLWWLLDDW

League goals

Metric	Progress / AFA Olaine			Leevon / PPK
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	19	15	34	22	14	36
GF avg	1.6	1.3	1.4	1.8	1.2	1.5
GA total	30	54	84	21	16	37
GA avg	2.5	4.5	3.5	1.8	1.3	1.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Progress / AFA Olaine		Leevon / PPK
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	75%	92%	71%	83%
1.5	42%	71%	38%	46%
2.5	25%	63%	21%	17%
3.5	0%	50%	13%	8%
4.5	0%	33%	4%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Progress / AFA Olaine			Leevon / PPK
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	0	2	2	2	4
Failed to score	3	3	6	4	3	7

Penalties

Metric	Progress / AFA Olaine	Leevon / PPK
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	2

Streaks

Metric	Progress / AFA Olaine	Leevon / PPK
Wins	2	2
Draws	1	2
Losses	5	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	2-3	6-2	0-4
Biggest losses	1-6	8-1	0-4	4-1
Goals For	3	3	6	4
Goals Against	6	8	4	4

Model comparison

Metric	Progress / AFA Olaine	Leevon / PPK
Form	55%	45%
Att	75%	25%
Def	24%	76%
Poisson Distribution	37%	63%
H2h	33%	67%
Goals	50%	50%
Total	45.7%	54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leevon / PPK

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Progress / AFA Olaine vs Leevon / PPK

Expected goals (λ): Progress / AFA Olaine = 1.12 (league 1.85), Leevon / PPK = 2.04 (league 1.47)

		Leevon / PPK
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Progress / AFA Olaine	0	4.2%	8.6%	8.8%	6.0%	3.0%	1.2%
	1	4.8%	9.7%	9.9%	6.7%	3.4%	1.4%
	2	2.7%	5.4%	5.6%	3.8%	1.9%	0.8%
	3	1.0%	2.0%	2.1%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
	4	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.3% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 56.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Progress / AFA Olaine	Leevon / PPK
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	2