Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 11:00 • Tepera stadions
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.85) 2.39 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.8% 19.3% 52.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 1
7.2%
1 - 3
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Rīgas FS II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smiltene 0 2.0% 4.7% 5.6% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3%
1 3.0% 7.2% 8.6% 6.9% 4.1% 2.0%
2 2.3% 5.6% 6.7% 5.3% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.2% 2.9% 3.4% 2.7% 1.6% 0.8%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSmilteneRīgas FS II
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack55%82%
Defense9%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Smiltene Rīgas FS II
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%31%32%62%25%44%
Draws17%8%12%8%50%28%
Loses50%62%56%31%25%28%

Form: Smiltene: LWDLLWLWWWLLLLWLWLLDLLWLD • Rīgas FS II: LLDWWWDDWWDLWDLWWWLLWDDWL

League goals

Metric Smiltene Rīgas FS II
HATHAT
GF total261945261945
GF avg2.21.51.82.01.61.8
GA total262147141630
GA avg2.21.61.91.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSmilteneRīgas FS II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%88%84%64%
1.552%64%56%40%
2.524%28%28%12%
3.512%8%12%4%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSmilteneRīgas FS II
HATHAT
Clean sheets123459
Failed to score224134

Penalties

MetricSmilteneRīgas FS II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSmilteneRīgas FS II
Wins33
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-43-11-34-3
Goals For5343
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricSmilteneRīgas FS II
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total32.7%67.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rīgas FS II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Smiltene = 1.54 (league 1.85), Rīgas FS II = 2.39 (league 1.47)

Rīgas FS II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smiltene 0 2.0% 4.7% 5.6% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3%
1 3.0% 7.2% 8.6% 6.9% 4.1% 2.0%
2 2.3% 5.6% 6.7% 5.3% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.2% 2.9% 3.4% 2.7% 1.6% 0.8%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 52.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1