1. Division — Denmark
Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 17:30 • Capelli Sport Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.51) 1.04 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.5% 31.7% 38.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.5%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Esbjerg
0 1 2 3 4 5
HB Koge 0 15.0% 15.5% 8.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.4% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHB KogeEsbjerg
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack40%60%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HB Koge Esbjerg
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%10%26%60%44%53%
Draws11%30%21%20%0%11%
Loses44%60%53%20%56%37%

Form: HB Koge: WWLLDLLLWLLLWLWDDLD • Esbjerg: LWWLWWLWLLDLDWWWLWW

League goals

Metric HB Koge Esbjerg
HATHAT
GF total91423171128
GF avg1.01.41.21.71.21.5
GA total102535141226
GA avg1.12.51.81.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHB KogeEsbjerg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%89%68%84%
1.537%63%37%47%
2.55%26%26%5%
3.50%5%11%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHB KogeEsbjerg
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score314246

Penalties

MetricHB KogeEsbjerg
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricHB KogeEsbjerg
Wins23
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-21-5
Biggest losses0-24-00-23-0
Goals For2345
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricHB KogeEsbjerg
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total38.5%61.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Esbjerg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away2.12 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.49 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HB Koge = 0.86 (league 1.51), Esbjerg = 1.04 (league 1.28)

Esbjerg
0 1 2 3 4 5
HB Koge 0 15.0% 15.5% 8.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.4% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 38.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1