Ekstraklasa
— Poland
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 19:15 •
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.64)
1.09 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.1% | 25.4% | 26.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Lech Poznan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gornik Zabrze | 0 | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gornik Zabrze | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 70% |
| Defense | 0% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gornik Zabrze | Lech Poznan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 70% | 33% | 53% | 30% | 33% | 32% |
| Draws | 10% | 22% | 16% | 40% | 44% | 42% |
| Loses | 20% | 44% | 32% | 30% | 22% | 26% |
Gornik ZabrzeWWLLWWLWWDWDWWLDLLW
Lech PoznanLWWDWLWDDWDDDLWDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Gornik Zabrze | Lech Poznan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 10 | 31 | 18 | 12 | 30 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gornik Zabrze | Lech Poznan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 79% | 84% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 26% | 53% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 11% | 11% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 11% | 11% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gornik Zabrze | Lech Poznan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gornik Zabrze | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gornik Zabrze | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gornik Zabrze | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away2.89 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Betfair
No2.51 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Gornik Zabrze
vs
Lech Poznan
Expected goals
1.54
Gornik Zabrze xG
League Avg: 1.64
Total
2.63
1.09
Lech Poznan xG
League Avg: 1.19
1x2 probabilities
Home
47.1%
Draw
25.4%
Away
26.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.1%
Tip
1 - 0
11.1%
Tip
2 - 1
9.3%
More chances
1.5+
84%
Chance
2.5+
59%
Chance
3.5+
42%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Gornik Zabrze = 1.54 (league 1.63), Lech Poznan = 1.09 (league 1.19)
| Lech Poznan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gornik Zabrze | 0 | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.2% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 26.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1