Ekstraklasa
— Poland
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 16:00 •
KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.64)
0.83 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5% | 19.7% | 13.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Nieciecza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zaglebie Lubin | 0 | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zaglebie Lubin | Nieciecza |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 20% |
| Attack | 13% | 38% |
| Defense | 63% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zaglebie Lubin | Nieciecza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 41% | 20% | 21% | 21% |
| Draws | 36% | 20% | 28% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
| Loses | 14% | 47% | 31% | 53% | 57% | 55% |
Form: Zaglebie Lubin: LDDWLDWDWLWDDWLDWWLWDWWWLLLWL • Nieciecza: WLDWLDLDLLLLDLWWLWLDDLDLLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Zaglebie Lubin | Nieciecza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 17 | 42 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 22 | 34 | 28 | 26 | 54 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zaglebie Lubin | Nieciecza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 69% | 79% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 31% | 28% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 10% | 7% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 3% | 3% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zaglebie Lubin | Nieciecza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zaglebie Lubin | Nieciecza |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zaglebie Lubin | Nieciecza |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zaglebie Lubin | Nieciecza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Zaglebie Lubin or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.04 @ Unibet
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away4.12 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.70 @ 10Bet
No2.12 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Zaglebie Lubin
vs
Nieciecza
Expected goals
2.09
Zaglebie Lubin xG
League Avg: 1.64
Total
2.92
0.83
Nieciecza xG
League Avg: 1.19
1x2 probabilities
Home
64.5%
Draw
19.7%
Away
13.8%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
11.8%
Tip
1 - 0
11.2%
Tip
2 - 1
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Zaglebie Lubin = 2.09 (league 1.64), Nieciecza = 0.83 (league 1.19)
| Nieciecza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zaglebie Lubin | 0 | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.5% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 13.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1