Ajax vs Twente - footywow

Eredivisie — Netherlands

Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 19:00 • Johan Cruijff Arena

Match Finished

Ajax

1 - 2

Twente

Expected Goals

1.27 (league 1.73) 1.07 (league 1.35)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
40.9%	27.9%	30.9%

best score tips

1 - 1

13.1%

1 - 0

12.3%

0 - 1

10.3%

Score & goals probability table

		Twente
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Ajax	0	9.6%	10.3%	5.5%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
	1	12.3%	13.1%	7.0%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%
	2	7.8%	8.3%	4.4%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	3.3%	3.5%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	1.1%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Ajax	Twente
Played	5	5
Form	40%	80%
Attack	47%	67%
Defense	67%	67%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	10 \| 2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%

FT probability

2.5+

59%

FT probability

3.5+

42%

FT probability

BTTS

77%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Ajax			Twente
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	14	28	14	14	28
Wins	64%	21%	43%	50%	36%	43%
Draws	21%	64%	43%	29%	50%	39%
Loses	14%	14%	14%	21%	14%	18%

AjaxWDWDWDWDLWDLLWWWDWDWDDWDDLWD

TwenteLLWLDWWWDLDDDWDWDDWDDWDWWWLW

League goals

Metric	Ajax			Twente
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	28	25	53	22	25	47
GF avg	2.0	1.8	1.9	1.6	1.8	1.7
GA total	11	24	35	14	16	30
GA avg	0.8	1.7	1.3	1.0	1.1	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Ajax		Twente
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	93%	75%	79%	75%
1.5	64%	43%	54%	25%
2.5	25%	7%	18%	7%
3.5	7%	0%	11%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	7%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Ajax			Twente
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	6	1	7	6	1	7
Failed to score	1	1	2	4	2	6

Penalties

Metric	Ajax	Twente
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	8 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	8

Streaks

Metric	Ajax	Twente
Wins	3	3
Draws	2	3
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	1-3	5-0	1-5
Biggest losses	0-2	3-1	0-2	1-0
Goals For	4	3	5	5
Goals Against	2	3	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Ajax	Twente
Form	33%	67%
Att	41%	59%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	56%	44%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	56%	44%
Total	51.2%	48.8%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Bet365

Draw3.80 @ Dafabet

Away2.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.52.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill

No2.63 @ Unibet

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Ajax vs Twente

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Ajax

Twente

Eredivisie • Netherlands • Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 19:00 • Johan Cruijff Arena

Expected goals

1.27

Ajax xG League Avg: 1.73

Total

2.34

1.07

Twente xG League Avg: 1.35

1x2 probabilities

Home

40.9%

Draw

27.9%

Away

30.9%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

13.1%

Tip

1 - 0

12.3%

Tip

0 - 1

10.3%

More chances

1.5+

84%

Chance

2.5+

59%

Chance

3.5+

42%

Chance

BTTS

77%

Chance

🟨 Cards

1 - 3

Exp.

#Ajax #Twente #Eredivisie #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Ajax = 1.27 (league 1.73), Twente = 1.07 (league 1.35)

		Twente
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Ajax	0	9.6%	10.3%	5.5%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
	1	12.3%	13.1%	7.0%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%
	2	7.8%	8.3%	4.4%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	3.3%	3.5%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	1.1%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 30.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Ajax	Twente
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	8 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	8