Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • Falkirk Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.54) 0.85 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.8% 31.0% 28.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Aberdeen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Falkirk 0 14.3% 12.2% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.6% 13.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.6% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFalkirkAberdeen
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack7%50%
Defense57%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Falkirk Aberdeen
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins22%40%32%30%44%37%
Draws56%10%32%40%0%21%
Loses22%50%37%30%56%42%

Form: Falkirk: DLWLDLDWWLWDWDDLLWL • Aberdeen: LLLDLLWWLWDWWDWWLDL

League goals

Metric Falkirk Aberdeen
HATHAT
GF total1282013720
GF avg1.30.81.11.30.81.1
GA total121527111223
GA avg1.31.51.41.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFalkirkAberdeen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%74%63%68%
1.532%42%21%42%
2.511%21%16%11%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFalkirkAberdeen
HATHAT
Clean sheets145336
Failed to score257347

Penalties

MetricFalkirkAberdeen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFalkirkAberdeen
Wins22
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-23-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricFalkirkAberdeen
Form36%64%
Att13%88%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total40.8%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : Falkirk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away3.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Falkirk = 1.09 (league 1.54), Aberdeen = 0.85 (league 1.22)

Aberdeen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Falkirk 0 14.3% 12.2% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.6% 13.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.6% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 28.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1