Championship
— England
Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 15:00 •
St. Mary's Stadium
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.36)
0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.3% | 27.1% | 18.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Oxford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton | 0 | 11.8% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Southampton | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 75% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Southampton | Oxford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 20 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| Wins | 50% | 35% | 42% | 26% | 21% | 24% |
| Draws | 33% | 30% | 32% | 37% | 26% | 32% |
| Loses | 17% | 35% | 26% | 37% | 53% | 45% |
Form: Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDLDDLLWDWWWDWWDWW • Oxford United: LLLDDWLDLWLWDLLDDWLDLLWLLDDWLLDLDLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Southampton | Oxford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 34 | 61 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 14 | 34 | 48 | 24 | 25 | 49 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Southampton | Oxford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 76% | 61% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 34% | 29% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 13% | 5% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Southampton | Oxford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Southampton | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Southampton | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-5 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Southampton | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Southampton or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.30 @ 188Bet
Away6.25 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.91 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.06 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ 888Sport
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Southampton
vs
Oxford United
Expected goals
1.43
Southampton xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
2.13
0.70
Oxford United xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
54.3%
Draw
27.1%
Away
18.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
17.0%
Tip
2 - 0
12.1%
Tip
1 - 1
11.9%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Southampton = 1.43 (league 1.36), Oxford United = 0.70 (league 1.14)
| Oxford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton | 0 | 11.8% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 18.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1