League One — England
Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • Aesseal New York Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.47) 1.25 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.2% 28.1% 40.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 9.9% 12.4% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.5% 13.1% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.0% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRotherhamMansfield Town
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack17%25%
Defense42%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rotherham Mansfield Town
HATHAT
Played171633171532
Wins35%19%27%35%27%31%
Draws29%13%21%29%33%31%
Loses35%69%52%35%40%38%

Form: Rotherham: WLLDLWLLLDWWWDWDDDLLLLLLLDWWLLLLW • Mansfield Town: LLWWWDLDLWDWDWLLLLDLWWWWDDDDLLLD

League goals

Metric Rotherham Mansfield Town
HATHAT
GF total201333241539
GF avg1.20.81.01.41.01.2
GA total242347181937
GA avg1.41.41.41.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRotherhamMansfield Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%79%75%72%
1.527%42%31%38%
2.56%18%13%6%
3.53%3%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRotherhamMansfield Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets437639
Failed to score4812448

Penalties

MetricRotherhamMansfield Town
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricRotherhamMansfield Town
Wins34
Draws34
Losses74

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-44-10-2
Biggest losses0-34-01-33-0
Goals For3443
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricRotherhamMansfield Town
Form60%40%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Rotherham or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Rotherham = 1.06 (league 1.47), Mansfield Town = 1.25 (league 1.12)

Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 9.9% 12.4% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.5% 13.1% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.0% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 40.4%

vtt 8 , vtd1