League One
— England
Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 •
LNER stadium
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.46)
0.65 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4% | 19.1% | 10.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.1%
1 - 0
13.7%
3 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Northampton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lincoln | 0 | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.1% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lincoln | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 33% |
| Attack | 92% | 50% |
| Defense | 75% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lincoln | Northampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 15 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| Wins | 69% | 47% | 58% | 40% | 19% | 29% |
| Draws | 25% | 27% | 26% | 20% | 25% | 23% |
| Loses | 6% | 27% | 16% | 40% | 56% | 48% |
Form: Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWWLWLDLWLWWDWWWDWDWWWWD • Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLWLWDLWLLDDLLLLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Lincoln | Northampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 32 | 21 | 53 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 16 | 31 | 15 | 24 | 39 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lincoln | Northampton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 68% | 58% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 26% | 26% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 6% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lincoln | Northampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lincoln | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lincoln | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lincoln | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 72% | 28% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 68.7% | 31.3% |
Advice: Winner : Lincoln
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.40 @ Unibet
Draw5.09 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ Betfair
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Lincoln
vs
Northampton
Expected goals
2.05
Lincoln xG
League Avg: 1.46
Total
2.71
0.65
Northampton xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
68.4%
Draw
19.1%
Away
10.6%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
14.1%
Tip
1 - 0
13.7%
Tip
3 - 0
9.7%
More chances
1.5+
72%
Chance
2.5+
51%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Lincoln = 2.05 (league 1.46), Northampton = 0.65 (league 1.11)
| Northampton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lincoln | 0 | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.1% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.4% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 10.6%
vtt 4 , vtd1