League One — England
Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 • LNER stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.47) 0.65 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.4% 19.2% 10.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.2%
1 - 0
13.9%
3 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 6.8% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.9% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 6.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLincolnNorthampton
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack92%50%
Defense75%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lincoln Northampton
HATHAT
Played161531151631
Wins69%47%58%40%19%29%
Draws25%27%26%20%25%23%
Loses6%27%16%40%56%48%

Form: Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWWLWLDLWLWWDWWWDWDWWWWD • Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLWLWDLWLLDDLLLLDWD

League goals

Metric Lincoln Northampton
HATHAT
GF total322153171229
GF avg2.01.41.71.10.80.9
GA total151631152439
GA avg0.91.11.01.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLincolnNorthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%68%58%68%
1.555%26%26%42%
2.523%6%10%10%
3.56%0%0%3%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLincolnNorthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets46105510
Failed to score1455813

Penalties

MetricLincolnNorthampton
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricLincolnNorthampton
Wins43
Draws32
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-43-10-3
Biggest losses0-13-01-35-1
Goals For5433
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricLincolnNorthampton
Form72%28%
Att65%35%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total68.7%31.3%

Advice: Winner : Lincoln

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ Unibet
Draw5.09 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Betfair
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lincoln = 2.04 (league 1.47), Northampton = 0.65 (league 1.12)

Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 6.8% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.9% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 6.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.4% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 10.6%

vtt 4 , vtd1