Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 19:45 • Roazhon Park
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.62) 1.19 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.7% 23.5% 25.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rennes 0 5.3% 6.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.0% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRennesLille
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack100%40%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rennes Lille
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%38%48%54%42%48%
Draws25%31%28%23%17%20%
Loses17%31%24%23%42%32%

Form: Rennes: WLDWDDDDLDWWWWLWWDLLLWWWW • Lille: DWWWLLDWWLWLWWWWLLLLDDWWD

League goals

Metric Rennes Lille
HATHAT
GF total231942201838
GF avg1.91.51.71.51.51.5
GA total122335141832
GA avg1.01.81.41.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRennesLille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%68%68%68%
1.548%40%28%36%
2.528%16%20%20%
3.512%12%16%4%
4.50%4%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRennesLille
HATHAT
Clean sheets358448
Failed to score235268

Penalties

MetricRennesLille
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricRennesLille
Wins44
Draws42
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-46-11-7
Biggest losses0-25-01-43-0
Goals For4467
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricRennesLille
Form57%43%
Att75%25%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Rennes or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 1xBet
Draw3.44 @ 1xBet
Away3.45 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.17 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rennes = 1.76 (league 1.62), Lille = 1.19 (league 1.26)

Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rennes 0 5.3% 6.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.0% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.7% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 25.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1