Rennes vs Lille - footywow

Ligue 1 — France

Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 19:45 • Roazhon Park

Match Finished

Rennes

1 - 2

Lille

Expected Goals

1.76 (league 1.62) 1.18 (league 1.27)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
49.9%	23.5%	25.6%

best score tips

1 - 1

11.0%

2 - 1

9.7%

1 - 0

9.3%

Score & goals probability table

		Lille
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Rennes	0	5.3%	6.3%	3.7%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	9.3%	11.0%	6.5%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
	2	8.2%	9.7%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
	3	4.8%	5.6%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	2.1%	2.5%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%
	5	0.7%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Rennes	Lille
Played	5	5
Form	80%	60%
Attack	100%	40%
Defense	60%	80%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	12 \| 2.4	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	2 \| 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%

FT probability

2.5+

59%

FT probability

3.5+

42%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Rennes			Lille
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	12	13	25	13	12	25
Wins	58%	38%	48%	54%	42%	48%
Draws	25%	31%	28%	23%	17%	20%
Loses	17%	31%	24%	23%	42%	32%

RennesWLDWDDDDLDWWWWLWWDLLLWWWW

LilleDWWWLLDWWLWLWWWWLLLLDDWWD

League goals

Metric	Rennes			Lille
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	23	19	42	20	18	38
GF avg	1.9	1.5	1.7	1.5	1.5	1.5
GA total	12	23	35	14	18	32
GA avg	1.0	1.8	1.4	1.1	1.5	1.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Rennes		Lille
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	80%	68%	68%	68%
1.5	48%	40%	28%	36%
2.5	28%	16%	20%	20%
3.5	12%	12%	16%	4%
4.5	0%	4%	8%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Rennes			Lille
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	5	8	4	4	8
Failed to score	2	3	5	2	6	8

Penalties

Metric	Rennes	Lille
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	4

Streaks

Metric	Rennes	Lille
Wins	4	4
Draws	4	2
Losses	3	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-1	0-4	6-1	1-7
Biggest losses	0-2	5-0	1-4	3-0
Goals For	4	4	6	7
Goals Against	2	5	4	3

Model comparison

Metric	Rennes	Lille
Form	57%	43%
Att	75%	25%
Def	33%	67%
Poisson Distribution	59%	41%
H2h	38%	62%
Goals	46%	54%
Total	51.3%	48.7%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 1xBet

Draw3.44 @ 1xBet

Away3.45 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.96 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle

No2.17 @ Superbet

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Rennes vs Lille

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Rennes

Lille

Ligue 1 • France • Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 19:45 • Roazhon Park

Expected goals

1.76

Rennes xG League Avg: 1.62

Total

2.94

1.18

Lille xG League Avg: 1.27

1x2 probabilities

Home

49.9%

Draw

23.5%

Away

25.6%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

11.0%

Tip

2 - 1

9.7%

Tip

1 - 0

9.3%

More chances

1.5+

84%

Chance

2.5+

59%

Chance

3.5+

42%

Chance

BTTS

68%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 3

Exp.

#Rennes #Lille #Ligue1 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Rennes = 1.76 (league 1.62), Lille = 1.18 (league 1.27)

		Lille
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Rennes	0	5.3%	6.3%	3.7%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	9.3%	11.0%	6.5%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
	2	8.2%	9.7%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
	3	4.8%	5.6%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	2.1%	2.5%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%
	5	0.7%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.9% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 25.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Rennes	Lille
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	4