Lens vs Toulouse - footywow

Ligue 1 — France

Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:45 • Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Match Finished

Lens

3 - 2

Toulouse

Expected Goals

1.76 (league 1.62) 0.62 (league 1.27)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
64.2%	22.4%	12.4%

best score tips

1 - 0

16.4%

2 - 0

14.4%

1 - 1

10.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Toulouse
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Lens	0	9.3%	5.7%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	16.4%	10.1%	3.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	14.4%	8.9%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	8.5%	5.2%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	3.7%	2.3%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	1.3%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Lens	Toulouse
Played	5	5
Form	47%	40%
Attack	91%	55%
Defense	36%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	11 \| 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%

FT probability

2.5+

55%

FT probability

3.5+

39%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Lens			Toulouse
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	14	28	15	14	29
Wins	86%	50%	68%	33%	36%	34%
Draws	0%	14%	7%	33%	14%	24%
Loses	14%	36%	25%	33%	50%	41%

Form: Lens: LWWLWDWWWLWWWWWWWWLWWWLDWLWL • Toulouse: WWLLLDWWLDDDLDWWLWWDLLDLLWWLL

League goals

Metric	Lens			Toulouse
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	31	23	54	21	18	39
GF avg	2.2	1.6	1.9	1.4	1.3	1.3
GA total	9	18	27	21	18	39
GA avg	0.6	1.3	1.0	1.4	1.3	1.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Lens		Toulouse
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	82%	64%	66%	69%
1.5	61%	21%	38%	34%
2.5	32%	11%	17%	17%
3.5	11%	0%	10%	7%
4.5	7%	0%	3%	3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Lens			Toulouse
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	7	3	10	6	3	9
Failed to score	1	4	5	6	4	10

Penalties

Metric	Lens	Toulouse
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	4

Streaks

Metric	Lens	Toulouse
Wins	8	2
Draws	1	3
Losses	1	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-1	0-5	5-1	0-3
Biggest losses	2-3	3-0	0-4	3-1
Goals For	5	5	5	4
Goals Against	3	3	6	3

Model comparison

Metric	Lens	Toulouse
Form	54%	46%
Att	63%	38%
Def	61%	39%
Poisson Distribution	72%	28%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	73%	27%
Total	65.7%	34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lens or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ 188Bet

Draw4.80 @ Dafabet

Away6.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet

Under 2.52.35 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet

No2.10 @ BetVictor

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Lens vs Toulouse

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Lens

Toulouse

Ligue 1 • France • Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:45 • Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Expected goals

1.76

Lens xG League Avg: 1.62

Total

2.38

0.62

Toulouse xG League Avg: 1.27

1x2 probabilities

Home

64.2%

Draw

22.4%

Away

12.4%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

16.4%

Tip

2 - 0

14.4%

Tip

1 - 1

10.1%

More chances

1.5+

78%

Chance

2.5+

55%

Chance

3.5+

39%

Chance

BTTS

68%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#Lens #Toulouse #Ligue1 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Lens = 1.76 (league 1.62), Toulouse = 0.62 (league 1.27)

		Toulouse
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Lens	0	9.3%	5.7%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	16.4%	10.1%	3.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	14.4%	8.9%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	8.5%	5.2%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	3.7%	2.3%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	1.3%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 12.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Lens	Toulouse
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	4