Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:30 •
Mewa Arena
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.63)
2.72 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | 12.5% | 75.8% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.3%
0 - 3
12.0%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Bayern München | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 3.6% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 47% | 100% |
| Defense | 71% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 17 | 3.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 27% | 29% | 28% | 86% | 80% | 83% |
| Draws | 33% | 29% | 31% | 7% | 20% | 14% |
| Loses | 40% | 43% | 41% | 7% | 0% | 3% |
Form: FSV Mainz 05: LDLWLLLLDLDLLDDDWLWWWLDDDWWWL • Bayern München: WWWWWWWWWDWWWDWWWWLDWWWWWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 18 | 35 | 56 | 49 | 105 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| GA total | 18 | 26 | 44 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 90% | 100% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 34% | 93% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 14% | 79% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 14% | 45% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 28% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 11 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 11 |
Streaks
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 8-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 31.3% | 68.7% |
Advice: Winner : Bayern München
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home6.10 @ Unibet
Draw5.08 @ 1xBet
Away1.56 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.10 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ 10Bet
No2.63 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
FSV Mainz 05
vs
Bayern München
Expected goals
0.61
FSV Mainz 05 xG
League Avg: 1.63
Total
3.33
2.72
Bayern München xG
League Avg: 1.46
1x2 probabilities
Home
5.9%
Draw
12.5%
Away
75.8%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
13.3%
Tip
0 - 3
12.0%
Tip
0 - 1
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
69%
Chance
3.5+
49%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 0.61 (league 1.63), Bayern München = 2.72 (league 1.46)
| Bayern München | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 3.6% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.9% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 75.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1