Bundesliga
— Germany
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 18:30 •
Red Bull Arena
Expected Goals
2.68 (league 1.63)
0.74 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.9% | 13.8% | 7.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.7%
3 - 0
10.5%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Union Berlin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RB Leipzig | 0 | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | RB Leipzig | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 58% | 21% |
| Defense | 84% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | RB Leipzig | Union Berlin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 67% | 53% | 60% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Draws | 13% | 20% | 17% | 40% | 13% | 27% |
| Loses | 20% | 27% | 23% | 33% | 60% | 47% |
Form: RB Leipzig: LWWWWDWWWLWDWLLWLWDLWDDWWLWWWW • Union Berlin: WLLWDLWLDDWLLWWDDDLLDLWLLWLDLL
League goals
| Metric | RB Leipzig | Union Berlin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 35 | 24 | 59 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 18 | 19 | 37 | 24 | 28 | 52 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | RB Leipzig | Union Berlin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 63% | 73% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 27% | 27% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 17% | 10% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 7% | 3% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | RB Leipzig | Union Berlin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | RB Leipzig | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | RB Leipzig | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-6 | 3-1 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 6-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | RB Leipzig | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 71.7% | 28.3% |
Advice: Winner : RB Leipzig
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.40 @ 1xBet
Draw5.33 @ 1xBet
Away9.10 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.65 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.82 @ Betano
No2.08 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
RB Leipzig
vs
Union Berlin
Expected goals
2.68
RB Leipzig xG
League Avg: 1.63
Total
3.43
0.74
Union Berlin xG
League Avg: 1.46
1x2 probabilities
Home
72.9%
Draw
13.8%
Away
7.8%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
11.7%
Tip
3 - 0
10.5%
Tip
1 - 0
8.7%
More chances
1.5+
88%
Chance
2.5+
62%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
74%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): RB Leipzig = 2.68 (league 1.63), Union Berlin = 0.74 (league 1.46)
| Union Berlin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RB Leipzig | 0 | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.9% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 7.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1