Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Manuel MartÃnez Valero
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.51)
0.96 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.2% | 28.4% | 28.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Elche | 0 | 10.7% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Elche | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 42% | 67% |
| Defense | 33% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Elche | Atletico Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 15 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 44% | 0% | 23% | 81% | 27% | 55% |
| Draws | 44% | 27% | 35% | 6% | 33% | 19% |
| Loses | 13% | 73% | 42% | 13% | 40% | 26% |
Form: Elche: DDWDWDWLDLLDDLWLWLDDLLLDLDLLWLW • Atletico Madrid: LDDWDWWDWWWWWWLLWWDWWDLLWWWWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Elche | Atletico Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 14 | 39 | 35 | 16 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 16 | 31 | 47 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Elche | Atletico Madrid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 77% | 87% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 45% | 42% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 26% | 26% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Elche | Atletico Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Elche | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Elche | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | — | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Elche | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 18% | 82% |
| Total | 40.7% | 59.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.71 @ 1xBet
Draw3.88 @ 1xBet
Away2.62 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.72 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.31 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.40 @ BetVictor
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Elche
vs
Atletico Madrid
Expected goals
1.27
Elche xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
2.23
0.96
Atletico Madrid xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
43.2%
Draw
28.4%
Away
28.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.6%
Tip
1 - 1
13.1%
Tip
0 - 0
10.7%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Elche = 1.27 (league 1.51), Atletico Madrid = 0.96 (league 1.14)
| Atletico Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Elche | 0 | 10.7% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 28.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1