Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 18:00 •
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.51)
0.74 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | 29.7% | 22.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.2%
0 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Espanyol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 13.9% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.2% | 12.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 13% |
| Attack | 25% | 33% |
| Defense | 50% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| Wins | 33% | 19% | 26% | 40% | 25% | 32% |
| Draws | 53% | 19% | 35% | 20% | 31% | 26% |
| Loses | 13% | 63% | 39% | 40% | 44% | 42% |
Form: Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWWWLDDDLDLDWLLLWDDWDDLWL • Espanyol: WDWWLDDLWWLLWWWWWLDLLLLDLDDLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 12 | 29 | 18 | 19 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 27 | 38 | 21 | 27 | 48 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 71% | 81% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 26% | 35% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 19% | 3% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.26 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.86 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.23 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.76 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Rayo Vallecano
vs
Espanyol
Expected goals
1.24
Rayo Vallecano xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
1.97
0.74
Espanyol xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
48.0%
Draw
29.7%
Away
22.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
17.2%
Tip
0 - 0
13.9%
Tip
1 - 1
12.7%
More chances
1.5+
68%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano = 1.24 (league 1.51), Espanyol = 0.74 (league 1.14)
| Espanyol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 13.9% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.2% | 12.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 22.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1