Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 10:00 •
Ukraina Stadium
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.20)
1.14 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.2% | 19.7% | 18.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Oleksandria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Karpaty | 0 | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Karpaty | Oleksandria |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 7% |
| Attack | 83% | 25% |
| Defense | 83% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Karpaty | Oleksandria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 18% | 45% | 32% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Draws | 45% | 27% | 36% | 10% | 45% | 29% |
| Loses | 36% | 27% | 32% | 70% | 55% | 62% |
Form: Karpaty: LDDDDWDWLDWWLDLLLLDWWW • Oleksandria: LLLLWDWLDLDLDLLDLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Karpaty | Oleksandria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 15 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 16 | 10 | 26 | 19 | 21 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Karpaty | Oleksandria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 59% | 48% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 19% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 23% | 10% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 5% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Karpaty | Oleksandria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Karpaty | Oleksandria |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Karpaty | Oleksandria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Karpaty | Oleksandria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 91% | 9% |
| Att | 77% | 23% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 65.5% | 34.5% |
Advice: Winner : Karpaty
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.73 @ 10Bet
Draw3.92 @ 1xBet
Away5.53 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.52.05 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.88 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Karpaty
vs
Oleksandria
Expected goals
2.21
Karpaty xG
League Avg: 1.20
Total
3.35
1.14
Oleksandria xG
League Avg: 1.19
1x2 probabilities
Home
59.2%
Draw
19.7%
Away
18.4%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.8%
Tip
1 - 1
8.8%
Tip
2 - 0
8.6%
More chances
1.5+
79%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Karpaty = 2.23 (league 1.19), Oleksandria = 1.13 (league 1.19)
| Oleksandria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Karpaty | 0 | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.5% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 18.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1