Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 16:30 •
UD AlmerÃa Stadium
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.50)
1.39 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.3% | 22.3% | 27.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Leganes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almeria | 0 | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Almeria | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 79% | 57% |
| Defense | 57% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Almeria | Leganes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| Wins | 69% | 35% | 52% | 31% | 24% | 27% |
| Draws | 13% | 29% | 21% | 31% | 41% | 36% |
| Loses | 19% | 35% | 27% | 38% | 35% | 36% |
Form: Almeria: DWDLLWWDWDWWWWLDWLLWDLLWWWWDWLWWL • Leganes: DDDDWLLWDWDLLWLLDDLWWLWLWLDDLLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Almeria | Leganes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 41 | 23 | 64 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 23 | 23 | 46 | 16 | 19 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Almeria | Leganes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 79% | 64% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 45% | 33% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 12% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Almeria | Leganes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Almeria | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 10 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 10 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Almeria | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Almeria | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Almeria or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.50 @ Dafabet
Away5.85 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Almeria
vs
Leganes
Expected goals
1.90
Almeria xG
League Avg: 1.50
Total
3.29
1.39
Leganes xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
48.3%
Draw
22.3%
Away
27.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
9.8%
Tip
2 - 1
9.4%
Tip
1 - 0
7.1%
More chances
1.5+
84%
Chance
2.5+
59%
Chance
3.5+
42%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Almeria = 1.90 (league 1.50), Leganes = 1.39 (league 1.11)
| Leganes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almeria | 0 | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 27.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1