Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Dietmar-Hopp Stadion
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.67)
1.98 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.5% | 21.7% | 48.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hoffenheim II | 0 | 3.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hoffenheim II | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 0% |
| Attack | 35% | 13% |
| Defense | 61% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hoffenheim II | FC Ingolstadt 04 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 29% | 35% | 32% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Draws | 29% | 12% | 21% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Loses | 41% | 53% | 47% | 41% | 41% | 41% |
Form: Hoffenheim II: DWWWLLWDLLWDWLWLWDWLLLDLLLWLLLWDDL • FC Ingolstadt 04: DLDDLWDLDWWWLLLWDLDWWWDDWLDLWLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Hoffenheim II | FC Ingolstadt 04 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 33 | 61 | 23 | 29 | 52 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 28 | 34 | 62 | 23 | 26 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hoffenheim II | FC Ingolstadt 04 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 85% | 82% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 53% | 38% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 35% | 21% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hoffenheim II | FC Ingolstadt 04 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hoffenheim II | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hoffenheim II | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-5 | 4-1 | 2-6 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-0 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hoffenheim II | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Hoffenheim II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.33 @ 10Bet
Draw3.85 @ 10Bet
Away2.66 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.90 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.37 @ Betano
No2.95 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hoffenheim II = 1.44 (league 1.67), FC Ingolstadt 04 = 1.98 (league 1.37)
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hoffenheim II | 0 | 3.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.5% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 48.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1
