Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 10:00 •
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.32)
1.82 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.0% | 23.0% | 51.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Lusitânia Lourosa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Portimonense | 0 | 5.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Portimonense | Lusitânia Lourosa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 32% | 26% |
| Defense | 63% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Portimonense | Lusitânia Lourosa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 14% | 40% | 28% | 27% | 43% | 34% |
| Draws | 36% | 7% | 21% | 47% | 14% | 31% |
| Loses | 50% | 53% | 52% | 27% | 43% | 34% |
Form: Portimonense: WLDWLWDLLDLLLLWWDWLDDLLLLLWWL • Lusitânia Lourosa: WDDLDWLLDLDWWWLWDLDWWLWLWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Portimonense | Lusitânia Lourosa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 19 | 31 | 16 | 22 | 38 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 18 | 24 | 42 | 21 | 24 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Portimonense | Lusitânia Lourosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 86% | 76% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 31% | 38% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 17% | 10% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 3% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Portimonense | Lusitânia Lourosa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Portimonense | Lusitânia Lourosa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Portimonense | Lusitânia Lourosa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Portimonense | Lusitânia Lourosa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 48.6% | 51.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lusitânia Lourosa
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.95 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.14 @ SBO
Under 2.51.77 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Portimonense
vs
Lusitânia Lourosa
Expected goals
1.16
Portimonense xG
League Avg: 1.32
Total
2.97
1.82
Lusitânia Lourosa xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
24.0%
Draw
23.0%
Away
51.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.7%
Tip
1 - 2
9.8%
Tip
0 - 1
9.3%
More chances
1.5+
78%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Portimonense = 1.16 (league 1.32), Lusitânia Lourosa = 1.82 (league 1.14)
| Lusitânia Lourosa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Portimonense | 0 | 5.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.0% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 51.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1