Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:45 •
The EBB Stadium at The Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.52)
2.51 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.6% | 17.4% | 62.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 2
8.0%
1 - 3
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Southend | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aldershot Town | 0 | 2.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Attack | 50% | 90% |
| Defense | 20% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Southend | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 22 | 43 | 22 | 20 | 42 |
| Wins | 29% | 32% | 30% | 55% | 40% | 48% |
| Draws | 14% | 18% | 16% | 32% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 57% | 50% | 53% | 14% | 35% | 24% |
Aldershot TownLLLWWDDDLWLLDLLLLLLLLWWDWLWWWDWWWLLLLLLWDLL
SouthendWWDWDWLWDLLDWWWDLWWLLWWDWDLLWWLDDDWWLDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Southend | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 35 | 68 | 39 | 31 | 70 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 42 | 39 | 81 | 18 | 22 | 40 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aldershot Town | Southend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 86% | 86% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 51% | 58% | 45% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 30% | 29% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 5% | 2% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Southend | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 8 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 8 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-5 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 23% | 77% |
| Total | 27.7% | 72.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Dafabet
Away1.83 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.59 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Aldershot Town
vs
Southend
Expected goals
1.16
Aldershot Town xG
League Avg: 1.52
Total
3.67
2.51
Southend xG
League Avg: 1.27
1x2 probabilities
Home
15.6%
Draw
17.4%
Away
62.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.3%
Tip
0 - 2
8.0%
Tip
1 - 3
7.8%
More chances
1.5+
89%
Chance
2.5+
63%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Aldershot Town = 1.16 (league 1.52), Southend = 2.51 (league 1.27)
| Southend | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aldershot Town | 0 | 2.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.6% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 62.6%
vtt 8 , vtd1