Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:30 •
Spotland Stadium
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.52)
1.41 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.9% | 26.0% | 40.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| York | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rochdale | 0 | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rochdale | York |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 100% |
| Attack | 67% | 67% |
| Defense | 42% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rochdale | York | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 23 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| Wins | 82% | 65% | 73% | 74% | 73% | 73% |
| Draws | 5% | 22% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 18% |
| Loses | 14% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
Form: Rochdale: WWWLWWWWWWLWWDWLWWWWWLWWWWWWWDDWDWWWWLWDWLDWW • York: DWDDWWWLWDLWWDDWWWWWWWDWWDWWWWWWWWWLWWWLWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Rochdale | York | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 47 | 40 | 87 | 69 | 44 | 113 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 19 | 21 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 40 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rochdale | York | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 56% | 96% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 22% | 73% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 7% | 49% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 4% | 27% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rochdale | York | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 10 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rochdale | York |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 11 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 11 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rochdale | York |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rochdale | York |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 13% | 88% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 15% | 85% |
| Total | 28.8% | 71.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or York
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.05 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away2.31 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.65 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rochdale = 1.24 (league 1.52), York = 1.41 (league 1.27)
| York | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rochdale | 0 | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.9% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 40.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1
