Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 •
Mill Farm
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.56)
1.69 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.8% | 20.2% | 28.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Telford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Fylde | 0 | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 69% |
| Defense | 62% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 71% | 67% | 69% | 56% | 28% | 42% |
| Draws | 12% | 11% | 11% | 22% | 39% | 31% |
| Loses | 18% | 22% | 20% | 22% | 33% | 28% |
AFC FyldeWLWWWWDWWDLWWWWLWLWWWLWDWWLWWWWWWLD
AFC Telford UnitedDDLLDWWLLLWDWLDLDWDDWWWLWWWWLWDDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 43 | 41 | 84 | 40 | 32 | 72 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 21 | 17 | 38 | 23 | 26 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 69% | 89% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 66% | 29% | 58% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 9% | 28% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 3% | 14% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 2-1 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 65.7% | 34.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.70 @ Unibet
Draw4.15 @ Pinnacle
Away4.41 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.43 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AFC Fylde = 2.24 (league 1.56), AFC Telford United = 1.69 (league 1.28)
| AFC Telford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Fylde | 0 | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.8% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 28.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1
