CupRussia
Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 17:30 • Akhmat Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.37) 0.99 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.1% 19.5% 15.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
FC Orenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Akhmat 0 4.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.1% 9.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.3% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAkhmatFC Orenburg
Played44
Form25%33%
Attack33%33%
Defense60%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.35 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.58 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Akhmat FC Orenburg
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins50%0%25%33%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%25%
Loses50%100%75%33%100%50%

Form: Akhmat: LLWL • FC Orenburg: LWLD

League goals

Metric Akhmat FC Orenburg
HATHAT
GF total325505
GF avg1.51.01.31.70.01.3
GA total246628
GA avg1.02.01.52.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAkhmatFC Orenburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%50%75%
1.525%75%50%50%
2.50%0%25%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAkhmatFC Orenburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricAkhmatFC Orenburg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAkhmatFC Orenburg
Wins11
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-1
Biggest losses1-22-13-52-0
Goals For2130
Goals Against2252

Model comparison

MetricAkhmatFC Orenburg
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total46.4%53.6%

Advice: Double chance : Akhmat or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ 1xBet
Draw4.36 @ 1xBet
Away5.74 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.20 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Akhmat = 2.18 (league 1.37), FC Orenburg = 0.99 (league 1.31)

FC Orenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Akhmat 0 4.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.1% 9.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.3% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 15.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1