Cup — Russia
Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 15:00 • Mordovia Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.37) 1.51 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.2% 25.8% 59.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 2
14.0%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nizhny Novgorod 0 12.3% 18.6% 14.0% 7.1% 2.7% 0.8%
1 7.2% 10.9% 8.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.1% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNizhny NovgorodSpartak Moscow
Played44
Form25%58%
Attack29%100%
Defense0%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.58 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.83 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nizhny Novgorod Spartak Moscow
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins50%0%25%33%100%50%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%25%
Loses50%100%75%33%0%25%

Form: Nizhny Novgorod: LWLL • Spartak Moscow: WDWL

League goals

Metric Nizhny Novgorod Spartak Moscow
HATHAT
GF total202628
GF avg1.00.00.52.02.02.0
GA total257303
GA avg1.02.51.81.00.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNizhny NovgorodSpartak Moscow
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%100%50%
1.50%50%50%25%
2.50%25%25%0%
3.50%25%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNizhny NovgorodSpartak Moscow
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricNizhny NovgorodSpartak Moscow
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNizhny NovgorodSpartak Moscow
Wins11
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—4-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-01-2—
Goals For1042
Goals Against2420

Model comparison

MetricNizhny NovgorodSpartak Moscow
Form30%70%
Att20%80%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h7%93%
Goals0%100%
Total21.8%78.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Spartak Moscow

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.51 @ 1xBet
Away1.55 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.06 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Pinnacle
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nizhny Novgorod = 0.58 (league 1.37), Spartak Moscow = 1.51 (league 1.32)

Spartak Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nizhny Novgorod 0 12.3% 18.6% 14.0% 7.1% 2.7% 0.8%
1 7.2% 10.9% 8.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.1% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.2% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 59.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1