Cup — Russia
Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 15:30 • Ozon Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.56 (league 1.37) 1.89 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 18.7% 27.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.8%
3 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Sochi
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Krasnodar 0 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.0% 5.7% 5.3% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
2 3.8% 7.2% 6.8% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8%
3 3.3% 6.2% 5.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7%
4 2.1% 3.9% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC KrasnodarFC Sochi
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack44%33%
Defense81%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 116 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Krasnodar FC Sochi
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%100%80%33%0%20%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%20%67%100%80%

Form: FC Krasnodar: LWWWW • FC Sochi: LWLLL

League goals

Metric FC Krasnodar FC Sochi
HATHAT
GF total21012459
GF avg1.03.32.41.32.51.8
GA total2359716
GA avg1.01.01.03.03.53.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC KrasnodarFC Sochi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%80%100%
1.560%40%80%80%
2.540%0%20%80%
3.540%0%0%60%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC KrasnodarFC Sochi
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricFC KrasnodarFC Sochi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFC KrasnodarFC Sochi
Wins01
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-42-1—
Biggest losses1-2—0-44-3
Goals For1423
Goals Against2244

Model comparison

MetricFC KrasnodarFC Sochi
Form80%20%
Att57%43%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h93%7%
Goals70%30%
Total72.2%27.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FC Krasnodar or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ 1xBet
Draw5.39 @ 1xBet
Away10.10 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.30 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ Fonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Krasnodar = 2.56 (league 1.37), FC Sochi = 1.89 (league 1.32)

FC Sochi
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Krasnodar 0 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.0% 5.7% 5.3% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
2 3.8% 7.2% 6.8% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8%
3 3.3% 6.2% 5.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7%
4 2.1% 3.9% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 27.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1