Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 13:00 • Centro Sportivo Luigi Berlusconi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.45) 1.53 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 24.7% 40.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.8%
0 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Cesena U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza U20 0 5.5% 8.4% 6.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.5% 11.5% 8.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.2% 7.9% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.4% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonza U20Cesena U20
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack47%47%
Defense73%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monza U20 Cesena U20
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins36%47%41%67%21%45%
Draws21%27%24%27%36%31%
Loses43%27%34%7%43%24%

Form: Monza U20: LWWLWLDDDWDWWDLLDLWDWLWLLWWWL • Cesena U20: DDWLWWWWLWLDDWLWDWLWDDLWDDWLW

League goals

Metric Monza U20 Cesena U20
HATHAT
GF total141731282553
GF avg1.01.11.11.91.81.8
GA total161531122840
GA avg1.11.01.10.82.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonza U20Cesena U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%55%83%72%
1.528%38%59%41%
2.510%7%34%10%
3.50%3%7%3%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonza U20Cesena U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets6713628
Failed to score549415

Penalties

MetricMonza U20Cesena U20
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMonza U20Cesena U20
Wins34
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-01-4
Biggest losses0-52-00-17-2
Goals For3334
Goals Against5237

Model comparison

MetricMonza U20Cesena U20
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : Monza U20 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Pinnacle
No2.27 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monza U20 = 1.38 (league 1.45), Cesena U20 = 1.53 (league 1.30)

Cesena U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza U20 0 5.5% 8.4% 6.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.5% 11.5% 8.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.2% 7.9% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.4% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 40.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1