Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 •
Ahorn Camp Sportpark
Expected Goals
2.71 (league 1.94)
0.63 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.2% | 12.7% | 6.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.0%
3 - 0
11.7%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Fernwald | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt II | 0 | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.7% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Eintracht Frankfurt II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 163 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Eintracht Frankfurt II -11.7, Fernwald -15.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Eintracht Frankfurt II
vs
Fernwald
Elo gapEintracht Frankfurt II +163
Home / draw / away59% / 18% / 23%
Expected home share72%
Combined Elo3186.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3186.3
Elo home share
72%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Eintracht Frankfurt II | Fernwald |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1657.2 | 1529.1 |
| Form Elo | 1665.5 | 1520.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1563.4 | 1511.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1727.6 | 1611.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1632.9 | 1551.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -11.7 | -15.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Eintracht Frankfurt II last-5 Elo change: -11.7; Fernwald last-5 Elo change: -15.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Eintracht Frankfurt II | Fernwald |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 71% | 47% |
| Defense | 76% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Eintracht Frankfurt II | Fernwald | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 100% | 64% | 82% | 43% | 36% | 39% |
| Draws | 0% | 21% | 11% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
| Loses | 0% | 14% | 7% | 36% | 43% | 39% |
Eintracht Frankfurt IIWWWDLWDWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWL
FernwaldLLWDLWWDLLLLWWWWDLLWWLDDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Eintracht Frankfurt II | Fernwald | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 49 | 27 | 76 | 26 | 27 | 53 |
| GF avg | 3.5 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 17 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Eintracht Frankfurt II | Fernwald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 61% | 89% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 54% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 0% | 25% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 11% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Eintracht Frankfurt II | Fernwald | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Eintracht Frankfurt II | Fernwald |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Eintracht Frankfurt II | Fernwald |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 2-6 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Eintracht Frankfurt II | Fernwald |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 64.0% | 36.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Eintracht Frankfurt II
vs
Fernwald
Expected goals
2.71
Eintracht Frankfurt II xG
League Avg: 1.94
Total
3.35
0.63
Fernwald xG
League Avg: 1.50
1x2 probabilities
Home
75.2%
Draw
12.7%
Away
6.2%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
13.0%
Tip
3 - 0
11.7%
Tip
1 - 0
9.6%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
72%
Chance
3.5+
51%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Eintracht Frankfurt II = 2.71 (league 1.94), Fernwald = 0.63 (league 1.50)
| Fernwald | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt II | 0 | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.7% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.2% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 6.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1