Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:00 •
Sportplatz Dassendorf
Expected Goals
4.79 (league 2.22)
0.43 (league 1.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
best score tips
4 - 0
11.9%
5 - 0
11.4%
3 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Harksheide | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tus Dassendorf | 0 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.9% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Tus Dassendorf carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 257 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Tus Dassendorf +2.7, Harksheide +10.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Tus Dassendorf
vs
Harksheide
Elo gapTus Dassendorf +257
Home / draw / away66% / 18% / 16%
Expected home share81%
Combined Elo3112.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3112.1
Elo home share
81%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Tus Dassendorf | Harksheide |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1667.2 | 1444.9 |
| Form Elo | 1675.5 | 1446.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1578.1 | 1436.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1882 | 1519.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1721.9 | 1111.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +2.7 | +10.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Tus Dassendorf last-5 Elo change: +2.7; Harksheide last-5 Elo change: +10.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tus Dassendorf | Harksheide |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 0% | 0% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 22 | 4.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
62%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tus Dassendorf | Harksheide | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 79% | 53% | 66% | 50% | 21% | 37% |
| Draws | 7% | 27% | 17% | 19% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 14% | 20% | 17% | 31% | 79% | 53% |
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HarksheideLLLWLWLWLDLLWLDWWDLWWWLLLLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Tus Dassendorf | Harksheide | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 39 | 52 | 91 | 35 | 19 | 54 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 20 | 29 | 34 | 53 | 87 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 2.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tus Dassendorf | Harksheide | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 62% | 87% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 72% | 24% | 47% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 7% | 20% | 47% |
| 3.5 | 38% | 3% | 13% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 28% | 3% | 7% | 23% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tus Dassendorf | Harksheide | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tus Dassendorf | Harksheide |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tus Dassendorf | Harksheide |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 2-9 | 5-1 | 3-7 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-3 | 1-6 | 11-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tus Dassendorf | Harksheide |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 92% | 8% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 70.7% | 29.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Tus Dassendorf
vs
Harksheide
Expected goals
4.79
Tus Dassendorf xG
League Avg: 2.22
Total
5.21
0.43
Harksheide xG
League Avg: 1.96
1x2 probabilities
Home
62.3%
Draw
2.4%
Away
0.7%
Best score tips
Tip
4 - 0
11.9%
Tip
5 - 0
11.4%
Tip
3 - 0
9.9%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
85%
Chance
3.5+
62%
Chance
BTTS
81%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Tus Dassendorf = 4.79 (league 2.22), Harksheide = 0.43 (league 1.96)
| Harksheide | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tus Dassendorf | 0 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.9% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.3% · Draw 2.4% · Away win 0.7%
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