Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 •
Heidebodenstadion
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.37)
0.29 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.1% | 57.8% | 18.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
52.2%
1 - 0
19.0%
0 - 1
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Krems / Rehberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Parndorf | 0 | 52.2% | 14.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Parndorf carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 110 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Parndorf -23.8, Krems / Rehberg -5.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Parndorf
vs
Krems / Rehberg
Elo gapParndorf +110
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo3124.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3124.1
Elo home share
65%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Parndorf | Krems / Rehberg |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1599.7 | 1524.4 |
| Form Elo | 1599.2 | 1520.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1547 | 1508.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1604.7 | 1501.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1621.3 | 1605.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -23.8 | -5.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Parndorf last-5 Elo change: -23.8; Krems / Rehberg last-5 Elo change: -5.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Parndorf | Krems / Rehberg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 0% | 0% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Parndorf | Krems / Rehberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 46% | 33% | 40% | 38% | 25% | 32% |
| Draws | 38% | 50% | 44% | 46% | 50% | 48% |
| Loses | 15% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 25% | 20% |
ParndorfDDLLWLWWLWDWDWWWWWDDDDDDD
Krems / RehbergWLLWDWWDLDDWWWLDWLDDDDDDD
League goals
| Metric | Parndorf | Krems / Rehberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 27 | 9 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 16 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Parndorf | Krems / Rehberg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 52% | 64% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 16% | 32% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 8% | 20% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 12% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Parndorf | Krems / Rehberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Parndorf | Krems / Rehberg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Parndorf | Krems / Rehberg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 6-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Parndorf | Krems / Rehberg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 0% | 0% |
| Def | 0% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Parndorf
vs
Krems / Rehberg
Expected goals
0.36
Parndorf xG
League Avg: 1.37
Total
0.65
0.29
Krems / Rehberg xG
League Avg: 1.12
1x2 probabilities
Home
24.1%
Draw
57.8%
Away
18.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
52.2%
Tip
1 - 0
19.0%
Tip
0 - 1
14.9%
More chances
1.5+
49%
Chance
2.5+
35%
Chance
3.5+
25%
Chance
BTTS
47%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Parndorf = 0.36 (league 1.37), Krems / Rehberg = 0.29 (league 1.12)
| Krems / Rehberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Parndorf | 0 | 52.2% | 14.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 57.8% · Away win 18.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1