Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.49)
1.25 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.8% | 28.8% | 44.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Frosinone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Catanzaro | 0 | 11.5% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Catanzaro | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 63% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Catanzaro | Frosinone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| Wins | 54% | 38% | 46% | 58% | 57% | 58% |
| Draws | 38% | 23% | 31% | 25% | 36% | 31% |
| Loses | 8% | 38% | 23% | 17% | 7% | 12% |
Form: Catanzaro: DDDDDDLLWWWLDWWWWWLLDLWWWW • Frosinone: WDWDWWLLDWWDWWWWWDWDWDLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Catanzaro | Frosinone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 17 | 37 | 24 | 24 | 48 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Catanzaro | Frosinone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 65% | 88% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 31% | 62% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 8% | 23% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Catanzaro | Frosinone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Catanzaro | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Catanzaro | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Catanzaro | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Catanzaro or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.70 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.77 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.60 @ Unibet
No2.51 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Catanzaro = 0.91 (league 1.49), Frosinone = 1.25 (league 1.08)
| Frosinone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Catanzaro | 0 | 11.5% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.8% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 44.1%
vtt 21 , vtd1
