Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.49)
0.66 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.2% | 30.4% | 20.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Modena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Monza | 0 | 15.3% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Monza | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 44% | 44% |
| Defense | 88% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Monza | Modena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 76% | 44% | 60% | 44% | 35% | 40% |
| Draws | 18% | 33% | 26% | 22% | 35% | 29% |
| Loses | 6% | 22% | 14% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
Form: Monza: WDLWLDWWWWWWWDDLWWLDWWWDWWWWLWDDDWW • Modena: WDWWWDWDWLWDDLLWLLLWDDLWWWLLDWWLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Monza | Modena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 25 | 56 | 26 | 21 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 10 | 17 | 27 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Monza | Modena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 57% | 77% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 51% | 14% | 46% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 3% | 11% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Monza | Modena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Monza | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Monza | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Monza | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 82% | 18% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 65.6% | 34.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Monza or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away4.70 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.02 @ Betano
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.88 @ Betano
No1.86 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Monza = 1.21 (league 1.49), Modena = 0.66 (league 1.08)
| Modena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Monza | 0 | 15.3% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.2% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 20.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1
