Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 •
Futbalový štadión Spartak Myjava
Expected Goals
2.56 (league 1.92)
0.96 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2% | 16.1% | 12.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
9.3%
3 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Beluša | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Myjava | 0 | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Spartak Myjava carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 136 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Spartak Myjava +6.6, Beluša +12.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Spartak Myjava
vs
Beluša
Elo gapSpartak Myjava +136
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share69%
Combined Elo3111.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3111.1
Elo home share
69%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Spartak Myjava | Beluša |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1605.9 | 1505.2 |
| Form Elo | 1601.9 | 1516.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1572.3 | 1492 |
| Attack Elo | 1707 | 1531 |
| Defense Elo | 1615.9 | 1451.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +6.6 | +12.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Spartak Myjava last-5 Elo change: +6.6; Beluša last-5 Elo change: +12.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spartak Myjava | Beluša |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 58% | 83% |
| Defense | 67% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spartak Myjava | Beluša | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 82% | 42% | 61% | 36% | 45% | 41% |
| Draws | 18% | 33% | 26% | 55% | 0% | 27% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 9% | 55% | 32% |
Spartak MyjavaWWDDWWWWDDWWLWLWWDWWWLD
BelušaWLWLLWDWDLWDWDLLDWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Spartak Myjava | Beluša | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 32 | 19 | 51 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| GF avg | 2.9 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 8 | 15 | 23 | 11 | 19 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spartak Myjava | Beluša | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 70% | 82% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 70% | 26% | 41% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 4% | 23% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 0% | 9% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spartak Myjava | Beluša | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spartak Myjava | Beluša |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spartak Myjava | Beluša |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-4 | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spartak Myjava | Beluša |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Spartak Myjava
vs
Beluša
Expected goals
2.56
Spartak Myjava xG
League Avg: 1.92
Total
3.53
0.96
Beluša xG
League Avg: 1.09
1x2 probabilities
Home
67.2%
Draw
16.1%
Away
12.0%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
9.6%
Tip
2 - 1
9.3%
Tip
3 - 0
8.2%
More chances
1.5+
93%
Chance
2.5+
65%
Chance
3.5+
46%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Spartak Myjava = 2.56 (league 1.92), Beluša = 0.96 (league 1.09)
| Beluša | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Myjava | 0 | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.2% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 12.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1