Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 11:00 •
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.48)
3.62 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.9% | 7.8% | 72.4% |
best score tips
0 - 3
10.1%
0 - 4
9.1%
0 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting CP U23 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| União Leiria U23 | 0 | 1.3% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Sporting CP U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 73% |
| Attack | 25% | 83% |
| Defense | 33% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Sporting CP U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 14% | 38% | 27% | 38% | 57% | 47% |
| Draws | 14% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 14% | 20% |
| Loses | 71% | 13% | 40% | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Form: União Leiria U23: DWLWWWDLDLDLLDL • Sporting CP U23: WWLLWWLLLDDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Sporting CP U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 14 | 8 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | União Leiria U23 | Sporting CP U23 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 73% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 20% | 33% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Sporting CP U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Sporting CP U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Sporting CP U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | União Leiria U23 | Sporting CP U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 15% | 85% |
| Att | 23% | 77% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 32.5% | 67.5% |
Advice: Winner : Sporting CP U23
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.04 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): União Leiria U23 = 0.74 (league 1.48), Sporting CP U23 = 3.62 (league 1.27)
| Sporting CP U23 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| União Leiria U23 | 0 | 1.3% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.9% · Draw 7.8% · Away win 72.4%
vtt 3 , vtd1
