Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 15:00 •
Campo Nº5 Complexo Desportivo Dr. António Pimenta
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.23)
0.93 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.5% | 31.6% | 32.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 0
14.5%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Varzim | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guimaraes B | 0 | 14.6% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 35% | 24% |
| Defense | 76% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Varzim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 43% | 38% | 40% | 38% | 14% | 27% |
| Draws | 14% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 43% | 47% |
| Loses | 43% | 13% | 27% | 13% | 43% | 27% |
Form: Guimaraes B: DLWDDLDLWWWWDLW • Varzim: WWLDDDLDWDDWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Varzim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guimaraes B | Varzim | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 47% | 67% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 20% | 33% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 20% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Varzim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 56.7% | 43.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Guimaraes B or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.07 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Guimaraes B
vs
Varzim
Expected goals
0.99
Guimaraes B xG
League Avg: 1.23
Total
1.92
0.93
Varzim xG
League Avg: 1.06
1x2 probabilities
Home
35.5%
Draw
31.6%
Away
32.8%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
14.6%
Tip
1 - 0
14.5%
Tip
0 - 1
13.7%
More chances
1.5+
59%
Chance
2.5+
42%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
60%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Guimaraes B = 0.99 (league 1.23), Varzim = 0.93 (league 1.06)
| Varzim | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guimaraes B | 0 | 14.6% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.5% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 32.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1