Cup — Russia
Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 18:00 • Rostec Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.38) 1.53 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.7% 23.6% 35.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baltika 0 4.3% 6.5% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.9% 10.6% 8.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.1% 4.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaltikaLokomotiv
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack22%30%
Defense74%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baltika Lokomotiv
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%67%50%60%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%67%60%33%50%40%

Form: Baltika: LLLWW • Lokomotiv: LWWWL

League goals

Metric Baltika Lokomotiv
HATHAT
GF total336448
GF avg1.51.01.21.32.01.6
GA total257134
GA avg1.01.71.40.31.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaltikaLokomotiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%80%60%
1.540%60%60%20%
2.520%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaltikaLokomotiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricBaltikaLokomotiv
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricBaltikaLokomotiv
Wins03
Draws00
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-12-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricBaltikaLokomotiv
Form40%60%
Att43%57%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total35.5%64.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lokomotiv

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Superbet
Draw3.46 @ 1xBet
Away3.28 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Fonbet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Baltika = 1.63 (league 1.38), Lokomotiv = 1.53 (league 1.31)

Lokomotiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baltika 0 4.3% 6.5% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.9% 10.6% 8.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.1% 4.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.7% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 35.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1