Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
The Steves Taxis Stadium
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.66)
2.18 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.0% | 20.3% | 55.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.7%
0 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Ramsgate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Canvey Island | 0 | 3.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Ramsgate carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 67 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Canvey Island -22.8, Ramsgate -23.8.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Canvey Island
vs
Ramsgate
Elo gapRamsgate +67
Home / draw / away32% / 22% / 46%
Expected home share41%
Combined Elo2873
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2873
Elo home share
41%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Canvey Island | Ramsgate |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1385.7 | 1487.3 |
| Form Elo | 1368.5 | 1470 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1457.4 | 1497.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1359.8 | 1571 |
| Defense Elo | 1420.4 | 1461.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -22.8 | -23.8 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Canvey Island last-5 Elo change: -22.8; Ramsgate last-5 Elo change: -23.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Canvey Island | Ramsgate |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 20% |
| Attack | 67% | 44% |
| Defense | 0% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Canvey Island | Ramsgate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 21 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| Wins | 25% | 5% | 15% | 33% | 35% | 34% |
| Draws | 25% | 19% | 22% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 50% | 76% | 63% | 33% | 40% | 37% |
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RamsgateWLLLDDWDWDDLLDLDWWWDDLDLWWWWDWWDLWLLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Canvey Island | Ramsgate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 14 | 38 | 33 | 36 | 69 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 36 | 47 | 83 | 30 | 36 | 66 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Canvey Island | Ramsgate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 95% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 63% | 54% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 32% | 24% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 12% | 10% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Canvey Island | Ramsgate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Canvey Island | Ramsgate |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 75.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 25.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | Canvey Island | Ramsgate |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Canvey Island | Ramsgate |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 38.6% | 61.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Canvey Island
vs
Ramsgate
Expected goals
1.30
Canvey Island xG
League Avg: 1.66
Total
3.49
2.18
Ramsgate xG
League Avg: 1.48
1x2 probabilities
Home
22.0%
Draw
20.3%
Away
55.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.5%
Tip
1 - 1
8.7%
Tip
0 - 2
7.3%
More chances
1.5+
91%
Chance
2.5+
64%
Chance
3.5+
46%
Chance
BTTS
78%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Canvey Island = 1.30 (league 1.66), Ramsgate = 2.18 (league 1.48)
| Ramsgate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Canvey Island | 0 | 3.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.0% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 55.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1