Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 •
Bowden Park
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.58)
0.54 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.1% | 15.8% | 7.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.4%
1 - 0
13.5%
3 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Barwell | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Harborough Town | 0 | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.8% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Harborough Town | Barwell |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 20% |
| Attack | 68% | 42% |
| Defense | 74% | 16% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Harborough Town | Barwell | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 13 | 28 | 15 | 17 | 32 |
| Wins | 73% | 69% | 71% | 33% | 18% | 25% |
| Draws | 27% | 15% | 21% | 20% | 29% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 15% | 7% | 47% | 53% | 50% |
Form: Harborough Town: WDWWWDWDWWDWWDWWWDLWWLWWWWWW • Barwell: WLLLWDLLWDDWLWLWDDDLLWDDLLLLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Harborough Town | Barwell | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 25 | 54 | 22 | 20 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 27 | 32 | 59 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Harborough Town | Barwell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 54% | 72% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 61% | 21% | 38% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 4% | 13% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 6% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Harborough Town | Barwell | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Harborough Town | Barwell |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Harborough Town | Barwell |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 2-6 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Harborough Town | Barwell |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 76% | 24% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 71.8% | 28.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Harborough Town or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.20 @ Bet365
Draw6.25 @ Bet365
Away13.00 @ William Hill
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.99 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Harborough Town
vs
Barwell
Expected goals
2.29
Harborough Town xG
League Avg: 1.58
Total
2.83
0.54
Barwell xG
League Avg: 1.33
1x2 probabilities
Home
74.1%
Draw
15.8%
Away
7.2%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
15.4%
Tip
1 - 0
13.5%
Tip
3 - 0
11.8%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Harborough Town = 2.29 (league 1.58), Barwell = 0.54 (league 1.33)
| Barwell | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Harborough Town | 0 | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.8% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.1% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 7.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1