Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:30 •
Stade des Grands-Prés
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.63)
1.64 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.4% | 22.6% | 35.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Concordia Basel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bassecourt | 0 | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Concordia Basel carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 18 points. This sits in the thin confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bassecourt +7.7, Concordia Basel +26.4.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Bassecourt
vs
Concordia Basel
Elo gapConcordia Basel +18
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo2994
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2994
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Bassecourt | Concordia Basel |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1470.7 | 1523.3 |
| Form Elo | 1469.5 | 1527 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1500.4 | 1529.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1441.7 | 1692.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1537.8 | 1460.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +7.7 | +26.4 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Bassecourt last-5 Elo change: +7.7; Concordia Basel last-5 Elo change: +26.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bassecourt | Concordia Basel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 38% | 92% |
| Defense | 31% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bassecourt | Concordia Basel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 50% | 8% | 29% | 42% | 42% | 42% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 67% | 46% | 42% | 25% | 33% |
BassecourtLLWLDLLDWDWWDDLLDWLLWLWL
Concordia BaselLWWLWDWDLDWLWWLDLDLDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Bassecourt | Concordia Basel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 9 | 28 | 20 | 32 | 52 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 22 | 33 | 14 | 22 | 36 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bassecourt | Concordia Basel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 83% | 88% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 42% | 63% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 13% | 33% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 13% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 13% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bassecourt | Concordia Basel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bassecourt | Concordia Basel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bassecourt | Concordia Basel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 2-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bassecourt | Concordia Basel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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