Sat, May 2 2026 • 14:00 •
Sportplatz Seefeld
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.64)
1.05 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.3% | 19.4% | 16.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.3%
1 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Old Boys | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Buochs | 0 | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Buochs carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 76 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Buochs -18.8, Old Boys -10.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Buochs
vs
Old Boys
Elo gapBuochs +76
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo2943
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2943
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Buochs | Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1492 | 1451 |
| Form Elo | 1488.8 | 1438.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1499.6 | 1483.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1545.7 | 1572.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1482.2 | 1375.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -18.8 | -10.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Buochs last-5 Elo change: -18.8; Old Boys last-5 Elo change: -10.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Buochs | Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 33% | 58% |
| Defense | 33% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Buochs | Old Boys | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 50% | 15% | 32% | 23% | 17% | 20% |
| Draws | 8% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 8% | 12% |
| Loses | 42% | 69% | 56% | 62% | 75% | 68% |
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Old BoysLLLDDLLLWLLLWWLLWLLLLLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Buochs | Old Boys | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 22 | 14 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 15 | 27 | 42 | 30 | 33 | 63 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Buochs | Old Boys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 80% | 68% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 52% | 40% | 76% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 24% | 20% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 8% | 24% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 8% | 16% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Buochs | Old Boys | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Buochs | Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Buochs | Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-2 | 1-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Buochs | Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 56.4% | 43.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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