Sat, May 2 2026 • 15:00 •
Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.64)
1.05 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.6% | 19.7% | 17.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.4%
1 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Schötz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Concordia Basel | 0 | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Concordia Basel carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 86 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Concordia Basel +10.8, Schötz -17.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Concordia Basel
vs
Schötz
Elo gapConcordia Basel +86
Home / draw / away49% / 20% / 31%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2971
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2971
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Concordia Basel | Schötz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1511 | 1460 |
| Form Elo | 1509.6 | 1457.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1484.2 | 1477.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1686.9 | 1574.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1446.6 | 1301.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +10.8 | -17.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Concordia Basel last-5 Elo change: +10.8; Schötz last-5 Elo change: -17.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Concordia Basel | Schötz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 42% |
| Defense | 17% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Concordia Basel | Schötz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 42% | 38% | 40% | 46% | 17% | 32% |
| Draws | 17% | 31% | 24% | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Loses | 42% | 31% | 36% | 38% | 58% | 48% |
Concordia BaselLWWLWDWDLDWLWWLDLDLDWWLWL
SchötzWLLDWWLLWDLLWLDLDWWLLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Concordia Basel | Schötz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 33 | 53 | 28 | 16 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 14 | 25 | 39 | 33 | 25 | 58 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Concordia Basel | Schötz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 80% | 76% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 44% | 56% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 16% | 32% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 8% | 12% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 4% | 0% | 12% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Concordia Basel | Schötz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Concordia Basel | Schötz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Concordia Basel | Schötz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-7 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-2 | 2-7 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Concordia Basel | Schötz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 63.3% | 36.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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