Sun, May 3 2026 • 13:00 •
Hauptplatz Rankmatte
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.64)
1.62 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.5% | 19.3% | 25.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Muttenz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Langenthal | 0 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Langenthal carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 92 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Langenthal +34.7, Muttenz +8.7.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Langenthal
vs
Muttenz
Elo gapLangenthal +92
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo3098.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3098.3
Elo home share
63%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Langenthal | Muttenz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1577.5 | 1520.8 |
| Form Elo | 1601.4 | 1525.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1528 | 1495.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1571.4 | 1619.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1565.4 | 1464.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +34.7 | +8.7 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Langenthal last-5 Elo change: +34.7; Muttenz last-5 Elo change: +8.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Langenthal | Muttenz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 47% |
| Attack | 83% | 67% |
| Defense | 75% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Langenthal | Muttenz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 75% | 46% | 60% | 46% | 42% | 44% |
| Draws | 8% | 31% | 20% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
| Loses | 17% | 23% | 20% | 23% | 25% | 24% |
LangenthalWLWWDLWDDLWWLDWWLWWWWWDWW
MuttenzWWWWWDLWLWLLWLWDDLDWDDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Langenthal | Muttenz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 18 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 51 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 20 | 17 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Langenthal | Muttenz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 88% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 32% | 60% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 16% | 24% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 4% | 16% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 12% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Langenthal | Muttenz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Langenthal | Muttenz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Langenthal | Muttenz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Langenthal | Muttenz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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